Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Georgia Southern 90% CI

49–67%

Δ rating

Georgia Southern +4.4

Georgia Southern is the model's favorite at 59%. Georgia State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.