Conference game
Georgia State at Marshall
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Georgia State 54% Favorite
Marshall 46% Underdog
Georgia State is the model's favorite at 54%. Marshall has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia State offense
Higher fit 45 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Marshall offense
42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup