Conference game
James Madison at Southern Miss
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
James Madison 97% Favorite
Southern Miss 3% Underdog
James Madison is the model's favorite at 97%. Southern Miss has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
James Madison offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Southern Miss offense
30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup