Sam Houston at Troy
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Houston | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
 Troy Winner | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 68%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Sam Houston 32% Underdog
Troy 68% Favorite
Troy is the model's favorite at 68%. Sam Houston has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.2 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.