2026 Week 8 · Conference game
UL Monroe at Troy
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -28.9
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.0
- National rank
- 97
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UL Monroe
8%
Troy
92%
Troy 90% CI: 89% – 94% Δ rating 20.9
Troy is the model's favorite at 92%. UL Monroe has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.3 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UL Monroe offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Troy offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No