2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Southern Miss at UL Monroe
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Malone Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -20.7
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -28.9
- National rank
- 136
- Proj. wins
- 3.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
58%
UL Monroe
42%
UL Monroe 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 8.2
Southern Miss is the model's favorite at 58%. UL Monroe has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for UL Monroe — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UL Monroe offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Malone Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No