Conference game
Marshall at UL Monroe
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Marshall 74% Favorite
UL Monroe 26% Underdog
Marshall is the model's favorite at 74%. UL Monroe has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for UL Monroe — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Marshall offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UL Monroe offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup