2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -20.7
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.9
- National rank
- 93
- Proj. wins
- 8.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
10%
Old Dominion
90%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 13.8
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 90%. Southern Miss has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
36 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No