Conference game
Southern Miss at Old Dominion
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Southern Miss 36% Underdog
Old Dominion 64% Favorite
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 64%. Southern Miss has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup