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Georgia Tech

Yellow Jackets · ACC

GIE rank
#122
of 138 FBS
Rating
1389
2026 Week 11
Record
2-6
2026 season
Proj record
3-9
12-game season

Head coach Brent Key Year 5 with Georgia Tech

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
2.6
0.6 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
2 to 4
Final rank (90%)
#122 (109–128)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Georgia Tech's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 4 vs Colorado Big 12 Loss, 13-14 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Tennessee SEC Loss, 24-45 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Mercer Non-FBS Win, 44-11 Final
Wk 4 Sep 27 at Stanford ACC Loss, 27-34 Final
Wk 5 Bye
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Duke ACC Win, 28-25 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Virginia Tech ACC Loss, 24-34 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Boston College ACC Loss, 27-49 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Pittsburgh ACC Loss, 11-34 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Louisville ACC Win probability: 21%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Clemson ACC Win probability: 26%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Wake Forest ACC Win probability: 21%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Georgia SEC Win probability: 2%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Georgia Tech sits at 75th overall with a 2–6 record, and last week's 34–11 loss at Pittsburgh didn't budge the needle—GIE holds the rating flat at –1.1. The Red Zone efficiency (16% TD rate) remains a chronic problem; when the Jackets get…

  • Recap

    Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Georgia Tech sits at 1–3 after falling to Stanford 34–27 in Week 4, with the model holding them at a rating of –0.1 and ranking 69th overall. The loss exposed a familiar problem: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 16% means the Yellow…

  • Recap

    Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Georgia Tech remains ranked 42nd after a brutal Week 1 home loss to Colorado (14–13) that stalled any momentum heading into this week. The rating held steady at 5.9, suggesting GIE saw the defeat as confirmatory rather than a shock—a…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Haynes King

GIE projects a 8.4 rating drop and a 33.8pp shift in playoff probability if Georgia Tech loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

32 score

  • Quarterback 2% (3/5)
  • Offensive line 61% (11/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 27% (15/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 63% (18/26)
  • Secondary 32% (11/22)
  • Special teams 20% (4/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.4 rating

20 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Georgia Tech incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Gavin HarrisTE From New Mexico State New Mexico State 202
Justice HaynesRB From Michigan Michigan 127
Jonas DuclonaCB From South Florida South Florida 102
Chris CorboTE From Dartmouth Dartmouth 101
Isaiah FuhrmannWR From Elon Elon 85
Taje McCoyDE From Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 57

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 43.9%
    89th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 15.7%
    62th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 35.1%
    45th — average
  • Late & close 6.8 yds/play
    89th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.