Search 4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

Western Michigan

Broncos · Mid-American

GIE rank
#50
of 138 FBS
Rating
1602
2026 Week 11
Record
6-3
2026 season
Proj record
8-4
12-game season

Head coach Lance Taylor Year 4 with Western Michigan

Year-4 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.65 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
8.3
2.3 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
7 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#48 (37–65)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
8%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Western Michigan's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at Michigan Big Ten Loss, 12-13 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Monmouth Non-FBS Win, 49-14 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Rice American Athletic Win, 28-21 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Boise State Pac-12 Loss, 7-32 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Buffalo Mid-American Win, 20-17 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Kent State Mid-American Win, 38-7 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Central Michigan Mid-American Win, 21-14 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Toledo Mid-American Loss, 38-45 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Bowling Green Mid-American Win, 23-10 Final
Wk 10 Bye
Wk 11 Nov 11 at Akron Mid-American Win probability: 92%
Wk 12 Nov 18 vs Eastern Michigan Mid-American Win probability: 86%
Wk 13 Nov 24 vs Miami (OH) Mid-American Win probability: 62%

Latest stories

Stories about Western Michigan will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

93 score

  • Quarterback 95% (5/6)
  • Offensive line 100% (18/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 99% (26/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 66% (26/29)
  • Secondary 98% (14/18)
  • Special teams 100% (5/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−1.0 rating

21 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Western Michigan incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Nate LevickiTE From Presbyterian Presbyterian 97
DeJuan Echoles Jr.DE From Ball State Ball State 90
Zavian TibbsDT From Houston Houston 10
Kouri CrumpS From VMI VMI 8
Willard FerrellCB From Presbyterian Presbyterian 8
Scoop Gardner Jr.DE From Long Island University Long Island University 8

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 38.1%
    59th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.0%
    41th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 44.1%
    83th — strong
  • Late & close 5.0 yds/play
    46th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.