San José State: 2026 Week 11 recap

San José State sits at 4–5 with a rating of −11.3, holding rank 114 nationally. The Spartans dropped a close home game to New Mexico 21–16 in Week 9, a loss that left their rating unchanged but their playoff hopes at zero. The offensive picture is bleak: a 15% red-zone touchdown rate and 41% third-down conversion rate expose fundamental execution problems in high-leverage situations. GIE projects them to finish around 5.7 wins, suggesting further ground loss is likely. They host Northern Illinois in Week 10—a chance to stabilize, but their late-game leverage performance (4.31) hints at the kind of clutch-moment failures that have defined this stretch.