Spartans · Mountain West
Head coach Ken Niumatalolo Year 3 with San José State
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes San José State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | at USC Big Ten | Loss, 26-42 Final |
| Wk 1 Sep 4 | at Eastern Michigan Mid-American | Win, 27-21 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 13 | vs Cal Poly Non-FBS | Win, 30-20 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs Fresno State Pac-12 | Loss, 10-26 Final |
| Wk 4 | Bye | |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | at Hawai'i Mountain West | Win, 20-16 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Wyoming Mountain West | Loss, 13-16 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | at UTEP Mountain West | Win, 24-11 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Nevada Mountain West | Loss, 13-28 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs New Mexico Mountain West | Loss, 16-21 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Northern Illinois Mountain West | |
| Wk 11 Nov 15 | at Air Force Mountain West | |
| Wk 12 Nov 22 | vs UNLV Mountain West | |
| Wk 13 Nov 27 | vs North Dakota State Mountain West | |
Headlines mentioning San José State from across the web will surface here as the news harvester picks them up.
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -2.7 rating drop and a -10.8pp shift in playoff probability if San José State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
51 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.2 rating
22 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan AndersonWR From Sacramento State | Sacramento State | 66 |
| Luke WeaverQB From Hawai'i | Hawai'i | 29 |
| Isaiah BuxtonCB From San Diego State | San Diego State | 21 |
| Brian Dukes Jr.S From Cal Poly | Cal Poly | 18 |
| Aizik MahukaLB From Weber State | Weber State | 12 |
| Dominique McKenzieWR From BYU | BYU | 7 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
