2026 Week 1
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Friday, September 4, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
Rynearson Stadium
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -15.7
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -16.1
- National rank
- 122
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San José State
53%
Eastern Michigan
47%
Eastern Michigan 90% CI: 38% – 57% Δ rating 0.4
San José State is the model's favorite at 53%. Eastern Michigan has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San José State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Eastern Michigan offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
72°F
Precipitation
20%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 4, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Rynearson Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No