Conference game
UNLV at San José State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
UNLV 72% Favorite
San José State 28% Underdog
UNLV is the model's favorite at 72%. San José State has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UNLV offense
37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
San José State offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup