2026 Week 2
Southern Miss at Auburn
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC
Jordan-Hare Stadium
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -20.7
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.5
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Southern Miss
1%
Auburn
99%
Auburn 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 32.2
Auburn is the model's favorite at 99%. Southern Miss has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.9 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific night-game value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Southern Miss offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Auburn offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
79°F
Precipitation
10%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC
- Venue
- Jordan-Hare Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No