2026 Week 4 · Conference game
South Carolina at Alabama
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Bryant-Denny Stadium
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.6
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Carolina
19%
Alabama
81%
Alabama 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 5.0
Alabama is the model's favorite at 81%. South Carolina has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Carolina offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Alabama offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Bryant-Denny Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No