Search 4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

South Carolina

Gamecocks · SEC

GIE rank
#25
of 138 FBS
Rating
1690
2026 Week 11
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Shane Beamer Year 6 with South Carolina

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
7.5
2.5 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
6 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#24 (11–39)
Make playoff
9%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)

South Carolina playoff probability by pivotal game result
Game Win Loss Swing
vs Georgia at home · Nov 21 · +1pp 1% 0% +1pp

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Kent State Mid-American Win, 57-0 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Towson Non-FBS Win, 45-9 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Mississippi State SEC Loss, 34-41 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Alabama SEC Loss, 18-49 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Kentucky SEC Loss, 34-35 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Florida SEC Win, 38-19 Final
Wk 7 Bye
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Tennessee SEC Win, 27-24 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Oklahoma SEC Win, 42-25 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Texas A&M SEC Win probability: 62%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Arkansas SEC Win probability: 75%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Georgia SEC Win probability: 15%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Clemson ACC Win probability: 62%

Latest stories

Stories about South Carolina will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

65 score

  • Quarterback 99% (3/4)
  • Offensive line 37% (7/19) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 49% (16/31)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 55% (16/30)
  • Secondary 54% (17/22)
  • Special teams 88% (4/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.2 rating

27 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

South Carolina incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Ethan JohnsonDB From App State App State 117
Caleb HerringDE From Tennessee Tennessee 116
Nitro TuggleWR From Purdue Purdue 92
Tomiwa DurojaiyeDL From Illinois Illinois 75
Drew CollinsDE From Arkansas State Arkansas State 71
Quay'sheed ScottDB From Kentucky Kentucky 70

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 30.7%
    17th — bottom tier
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.1%
    43th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 44.2%
    83th — strong
  • Late & close 2.4 yds/play
    13th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.