2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Mississippi State at South Carolina
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
Williams-Brice Stadium
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Carolina
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.6
- National rank
- 24
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
23%
South Carolina
77%
South Carolina 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 7.8
South Carolina is the model's favorite at 77%. Mississippi State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.9 rating points baked in for South Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Carolina offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:15 PM UTC
- Venue
- Williams-Brice Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No