2026 Week 6 · Conference game
LSU at Kentucky
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kroger Field
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.4
- National rank
- 10
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.2
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
LSU
82%
Kentucky
18%
Kentucky 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 15.2
LSU is the model's favorite at 82%. Kentucky has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No