2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Mississippi State at LSU
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.4
- National rank
- 10
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
9%
LSU
91%
LSU 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 15.6
LSU is the model's favorite at 91%. Mississippi State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No