2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Florida at Texas
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.2
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.8
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
20%
Texas
80%
Texas 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 7.6
Texas is the model's favorite at 80%. Florida has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No