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Florida

Gators · SEC

GIE rank
#60
of 138 FBS
Rating
1574
2026 Week 11
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Jon Sumrall Year 1 with Florida

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
7.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
6 to 9
Final rank (90%)
#61 (43–77)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Florida's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Florida Atlantic American Athletic Win, 66-21 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Campbell Non-FBS Win, 52-3 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Auburn SEC Win, 44-39 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Ole Miss SEC Win, 52-28 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Missouri SEC Loss, 17-45 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs South Carolina SEC Loss, 19-38 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Texas SEC Win, 27-24 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Georgia SEC · neutral Loss, 8-27 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Oklahoma SEC Win probability: 59%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Kentucky SEC Win probability: 42%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Vanderbilt SEC Win probability: 86%
Wk 13 Nov 27 at Florida State ACC Win probability: 57%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Florida: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Florida sits at 31st overall with a 5–3 record, but the rating hasn't budged since last week—a concerning stasis given the 27–8 loss to Georgia in Week 9. The damage in that game reflected a deeper offensive malfunction: a red-zone…

  • Recap

    Florida: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Florida sits at 12th overall with a 4–1 record, but last week's 45–17 loss at Missouri exposed real problems. The Gators' rating held steady at 18.5, suggesting GIE saw the defeat coming—a blowout to a ranked opponent didn't shift…

  • Recap

    Florida: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Florida sits at No. 20 nationally after a dominant 66–21 Week 1 victory over Florida Atlantic, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—a reminder that one blowout win against a Group of Five opponent carries limited predictive weight. The…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

46 score

  • Quarterback 8% (5/6)
  • Offensive line 68% (13/19) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 62% (18/34)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 82% (23/29)
  • Secondary 56% (17/24)
  • Special teams 0% (2/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+1.1 rating

28 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Florida incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Emmanuel OyebadejoDL From Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 161
DJ ColemanS From Baylor Baylor 120
London MontgomeryRB From East Carolina East Carolina 114
Eric Singleton Jr.WR From Auburn Auburn 109
Lacota DippreTE From James Madison James Madison 95
Evan PryorRB From Cincinnati Cincinnati 88

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 34.0%
    32th — below avg
  • Red-zone TD rate 17.8%
    78th — strong
  • 4th-down aggression 31.6%
    27th — below avg
  • Late & close 3.5 yds/play
    18th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.