Conference game
Florida at Kentucky
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Florida 42% Underdog
Kentucky 58% Favorite
Kentucky is the model's favorite at 58%. Florida has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup