2026 Week 1
Florida Atlantic at Florida
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.2
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
5%
Florida
95%
Florida 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 21.3
Florida is the model's favorite at 95%. Florida Atlantic has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
79°F
Precipitation
8%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:45 PM UTC
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No