Florida Atlantic at Florida
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Atlantic | 0 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
 Florida Winner | 17 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 66 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida at 89%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Florida Atlantic 11% Underdog
Florida 89% Favorite
Florida is the model's favorite at 89%. Florida Atlantic has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Florida Atlantic recap Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida Atlantic sits at 5–3 with a rating of –3.4, ranked 90th by GIE—and that rating hasn't budged since last week despite a 48–41 road loss to North Texas in Week 9. The Owls are aggressive on fourth down (60% of the time) and in…
- Florida recap Florida: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida sits at 31st overall with a 5–3 record, but the rating hasn't budged since last week—a concerning stasis given the 27–8 loss to Georgia in Week 9. The damage in that game reflected a deeper offensive malfunction: a red-zone…