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Florida Atlantic

Owls · American Athletic

GIE rank
#80
of 138 FBS
Rating
1516
2026 Week 11
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
7-5
12-game season

Head coach Zach Kittley Year 2 with Florida Atlantic

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.6
1.6 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#82 (63–100)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Florida Atlantic's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at Florida SEC Loss, 21-66 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Navy American Athletic Win, 38-30 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Florida International Conference USA Win, 16-10 Final
Wk 4 Sep 27 at UL Monroe Sun Belt Win, 45-17 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Texas Southern Non-FBS Win, 66-10 Final
Wk 6 Bye
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Army American Athletic Loss, 24-56 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Rice American Athletic Win, 51-49 Final
Wk 9 Oct 29 at North Texas American Athletic Loss, 41-48 Final
Wk 10 Nov 6 vs UTSA American Athletic Win probability: 37%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Tulsa American Athletic Win probability: 39%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs South Florida American Athletic Win probability: 40%
Wk 13 Nov 27 at East Carolina American Athletic Win probability: 44%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Florida Atlantic sits at 5–3 with a rating of –3.4, ranked 90th by GIE—and that rating hasn't budged since last week despite a 48–41 road loss to North Texas in Week 9. The Owls are aggressive on fourth down (60% of the time) and in…

  • Recap

    Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Florida Atlantic sits at 4–1 with a rating of –4.2, holding steady after last week's 66–10 demolition of Texas Southern. The Owls haven't budged in GIE's eyes, which is telling: dominance against a FCS opponent doesn't move the needle.…

  • Recap

    Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Florida Atlantic sits at 0–1 after a brutal 66–21 road loss to Florida in Week 1, and GIE's rating hasn't budged: they remain at –6.1, ranked 91st. The margin reveals a team that couldn't execute when it mattered—their red-zone touchdown…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

83 score

  • Quarterback 100% (5/6)
  • Offensive line 82% (18/22) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 50% (13/25)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 81% (25/30)
  • Secondary 91% (15/21)
  • Special teams 111% (5/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.5 rating

29 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Florida Atlantic incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Jay CrableDB From Ohio Ohio 172
RJ Garcia IIWR From Bowling Green Bowling Green 76
AJ JohnsonTE From Villanova Villanova 45
Jonathan BaxDB From TCU TCU 42
Brooks JohnsonTE From Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 34
JK JohnsonDB From Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 24

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 37.5%
    54th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 10.5%
    18th — bottom tier
  • 4th-down aggression 60.2%
    98th — elite
  • Late & close 6.4 yds/play
    80th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.