Conference game
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Florida Atlantic 46% Underdog
Tulsa 54% Favorite
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 54%. Florida Atlantic has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup