Conference game
UTSA at Florida Atlantic
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
UTSA 69% Favorite
Florida Atlantic 31% Underdog
UTSA is the model's favorite at 69%. Florida Atlantic has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTSA offense
42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Florida Atlantic offense
42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup