UTSA
Roadrunners · American Athletic
- GIE rank
- #19
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1710
- 2026 Week 11
- Record
- 7-1
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 10-2
- 12-game season
Head coach Jeff Traylor Year 7 with UTSA
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 9.9
- 2.9 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 8 to 11
- Final rank (90%)
- #18 (8–35)
- Make playoff
- 30%
- Win conference
- 78%
Path to glory
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Atlantic | 44% | 0% | +44pp |
| at UAB | 44% | 0% | +44pp |
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs UT Rio Grande Valley Non-FBS | Win, 45-16 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Texas State Pac-12 | Win, 31-26 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | at Texas SEC | Loss, 6-30 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Colorado State Pac-12 | Win, 59-45 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at Rice American Athletic | Win, 16-14 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 8 | vs South Florida American Athletic | Win, 31-24 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | vs Navy American Athletic | Win, 38-34 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 25 | at Tulane American Athletic | Win, 42-19 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 6 | at Florida Atlantic American Athletic | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs North Texas American Athletic | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at UAB American Athletic | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Tulsa American Athletic | |
In the news
- PFF Grades: USF Bulls at UTSA (opens in a new tab)
- Third quarter offensive stall costs USF in a 31-24 loss at UTSA (opens in a new tab)
- ‘Unlike Any Other Atmosphere,’ ‘We Do More With Less’ — Jeff Traylor’s UTSA Answer Brian Hartline’s Noise Comments With Late Win Over USF (opens in a new tab)
- Know Your Opponent: UTSA (opens in a new tab)
- 2026 Week 6 Preview: South Florida Bulls @ UTSA Roadrunners (opens in a new tab)
- Hartline talks UTSA as USF aims to rebound (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
76 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−0.9 rating
19 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah BaldwinLB From UTEP | UTEP | 118 |
| Miles CampbellTE From Florida A&M | Florida A&M | 60 |
| Nate Robinson Jr.S From Marist | Marist | 34 |
| Drenon Fite IIIDL From Louisiana | Louisiana | 20 |
| Collins AcheampongDL From Bowling Green | Bowling Green | 19 |
| Brandon High Jr.RB From California | California | 14 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.