2026 Week 12 · Conference game
UTSA at UAB
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Protective Stadium
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.1
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 3.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTSA
81%
UAB
19%
UAB 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 16.4
UTSA is the model's favorite at 81%. UAB has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTSA offense
48 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No