UTSA at Texas State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UTSA Winner | 7 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
 Texas State | 0 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 52%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
UTSA 48% Underdog
Texas State 52% Favorite
Texas State is the model's favorite at 52%. UTSA has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.