Texas State
Bobcats · Pac-12
- GIE rank
- #58
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1579
- 2026 Week 11
- Record
- 4-4
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 6-5
- 11-game season
Head coach G.J. Kinne Year 4 with Texas State
Year-4 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.65 W vs. preseason expectation
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 5.7
- 1.7 more wins in 3 left
- Win range (90%)
- 4 to 7
- Final rank (90%)
- #59 (45–75)
- Make playoff
- 0%
- Win conference
- 0%
Path to glory
No remaining game changes Texas State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Texas SEC | Loss, 7-59 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs UTSA American Athletic | Loss, 26-31 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs North Texas American Athletic | Win, 49-35 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word Non-FBS | Win, 63-10 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | at San Diego State Pac-12 | Loss, 29-31 Final |
| Wk 6 | Bye | |
| Wk 7 Oct 16 | vs Colorado State Pac-12 | Win, 66-27 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Utah State Pac-12 | Win, 20-17 Final |
| Wk 9 Nov 1 | at Boise State Pac-12 | Loss, 45-46 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 8 | at Oregon State Pac-12 | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Fresno State Pac-12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Washington State Pac-12 | |
In the news
- Texas Tech Adds Texas Program to Future Non-Con Slate (opens in a new tab)
- 2026 Week 2 Preview: UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats (opens in a new tab)
- 2026 Texas Longhorns, Texas State Bobcats Football Post Mortem: DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS (opens in a new tab)
- Everything Texas State coach G.J. Kinne said after losing 59-7 to the Longhorns (opens in a new tab)
- 2026 Texas Longhorns, Texas State Bobcats Football Post Mortem: OFFENSE (opens in a new tab)
- What Texas Football Players said following UT’s 59-7 season-opening win over Texas State (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
65 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−1.1 rating
18 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Dexter Ricks Jr.DB From Liberty | Liberty | 52 |
| Javante MackeyLB From Arkansas State | Arkansas State | 38 |
| Tae WoodyDL From UL Monroe | UL Monroe | 34 |
| Phillip BradfordDL From McNeese | McNeese | 23 |
| Chancellor OwensDL From Arizona | Arizona | 11 |
| Jordan SampleLB From Arkansas State | Arkansas State | 11 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.