Conference game
Texas State at Boise State
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 45 |
 Boise State Winner | 7 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 46 |
GIE pre-game call: Boise State at 85%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Texas State 15% Underdog
Boise State 85% Favorite
Boise State is the model's favorite at 85%. Texas State has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific night-game value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.