Conference game
Colorado State at Texas State
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 0 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 27 |
| | 21 | 24 | 21 | 0 | 66 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 84%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Colorado State 16% Underdog
Texas State 84% Favorite
Texas State is the model's favorite at 84%. Colorado State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.