2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Ole Miss at Florida
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Ole Miss
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.5
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 80%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.2
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ole Miss
43%
Florida
57%
Florida 90% CI: 47% – 65% Δ rating 1.3
Florida is the model's favorite at 57%. Ole Miss has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ole Miss offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No