Conference game
Florida at Auburn
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida Winner | 7 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 44 |
 Auburn | 3 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 39 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida at 53%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Florida 53% Favorite
Auburn 47% Underdog
Florida is the model's favorite at 53%. Auburn has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Florida recap Florida: 2026 Week 3 recap Florida sits at No. 20 nationally after a dominant 66–21 Week 1 victory over Florida Atlantic, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—a reminder that one blowout win against a Group of Five opponent carries limited predictive weight. The…
- Auburn recap Auburn: 2026 Week 3 recap Auburn sits at No. 26 after a narrow 17–16 home win over Baylor in Week 1—a one-point escape that masks some underlying offensive inefficiency. The Tigers' rating held steady this week at 11.5, suggesting GIE views that squeaker as fairly…