2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Florida at Missouri
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.2
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.4
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 7%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
40%
Missouri
60%
Missouri 90% CI: 51% – 68% Δ rating 0.2
Missouri is the model's favorite at 60%. Florida has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Missouri offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No