Conference game
Arkansas at Auburn
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:45 PM EST
GIE win probability
Arkansas 24% Underdog
Auburn 76% Favorite
Auburn is the model's favorite at 76%. Arkansas has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Auburn — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Auburn offense
Higher fit 45 / 100 Style-neutral matchup