Conference game
Texas at Missouri
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Texas 60% Favorite
Missouri 40% Underdog
Texas is the model's favorite at 60%. Missouri has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas offense
Higher fit 33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Missouri offense
30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup