Conference game
Auburn at Alabama
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Auburn 7% Underdog
Alabama 93% Favorite
Alabama is the model's favorite at 93%. Auburn has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.7 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Auburn offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Alabama offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup