2026 Week 13
Louisville at Kentucky
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Kroger Field
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.2
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisville
59%
Kentucky
41%
Kentucky 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 5.9
Louisville is the model's favorite at 59%. Kentucky has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisville offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No