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Conference game

Tennessee at Vanderbilt

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Tennessee 90% Favorite
Vanderbilt 10% Underdog
Tennessee 90% CI
86–93%
Δ rating
Tennessee +19.3

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 90%. Vanderbilt has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tennessee offense 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Vanderbilt offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup