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Vanderbilt

Commodores · SEC

GIE rank
#113
of 138 FBS
Rating
1416
2026 Week 11
Record
3-5
2026 season
Proj record
4-8
12-game season

Head coach Clark Lea Year 6 with Vanderbilt

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
3.9
0.9 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
3 to 6
Final rank (90%)
#116 (101–125)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Vanderbilt's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Austin Peay Non-FBS Win, 28-9 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Delaware Conference USA Win, 35-26 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs NC State ACC Win, 35-31 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Auburn SEC Loss, 15-21 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Georgia SEC Loss, 14-38 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Ole Miss SEC Loss, 17-52 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Arkansas SEC Loss, 21-31 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Kentucky SEC Loss, 17-34 Final
Wk 9 Bye
Wk 10 Nov 7 at Mississippi State SEC Win probability: 22%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Alabama SEC Win probability: 8%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Florida SEC Win probability: 14%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Tennessee SEC Win probability: 11%

Latest stories

Stories about Vanderbilt will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

39 score

  • Quarterback 6% (3/6)
  • Offensive line 50% (9/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 57% (18/32)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 50% (20/30)
  • Secondary 72% (14/20)
  • Special teams 33% (4/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.1 rating

22 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Vanderbilt incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Ricardo JonesS From Clemson Clemson 153
Jayvontay ConnerTE From East Carolina East Carolina 135
Ja'Cory ThomasWR From Old Dominion Old Dominion 130
Talan CarterDL From Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 117
Edwin KolengeEDGE From Boston College Boston College 53
Khalil PoteatEDGE From Temple Temple 46

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 45.7%
    94th — elite
  • Red-zone TD rate 18.2%
    80th — strong
  • 4th-down aggression 42.9%
    78th — strong
  • Late & close 4.8 yds/play
    42th — below avg

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.