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2026 Week 2

Oregon at Oklahoma State

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Boone Pickens Stadium

Oregon
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
29.2
National rank
2
Proj. wins
9.3
Playoff prob.
92%
Oklahoma State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
6.9
National rank
39
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oregon
93%
Oklahoma State
7%
Oklahoma State 90% CI: 5% – 10% Δ rating 22.3

Oregon is the model's favorite at 93%. Oklahoma State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Oklahoma State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oregon offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Oklahoma State offense
29 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
93°F
Precipitation
13%
Wind
18 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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