Arkansas State at TCU
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arkansas State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 TCU Winner | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: TCU at 91%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Arkansas State 9% Underdog
TCU 91% Favorite
TCU is the model's favorite at 91%. Arkansas State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for TCU — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.