2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Houston at Texas Tech
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Jones AT&T Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 21.8
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
10%
Texas Tech
90%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 14.4
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 90%. Houston has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
21 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas Tech offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Unknown
Temperature
0°F
Precipitation
20%
Wind
0 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No