Cougars · Big 12
Head coach Willie Fritz Year 2 with Houston
Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at West Virginia | 87% | 0% | +87pp |
| vs Baylor | 84% | 0% | +84pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Oregon State Pac-12 | Win, 33-20 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Southern Non-FBS | Win, 77-6 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Texas Tech Big 12 | Loss, 26-28 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Georgia Southern Sun Belt | Win, 42-28 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs UCF Big 12 | Win, 27-17 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Kansas State Big 12 | Win, 35-16 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Oklahoma State Big 12 | Win, 35-32 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 25 | at Utah Big 12 | Loss, 13-21 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Cincinnati Big 12 | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Colorado Big 12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at West Virginia Big 12 | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Baylor Big 12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
63 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+0.2 rating
19 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Trent WalkerWR From Oregon State | Oregon State | 153 |
| Patrick OvermyerTE From UTSA | UTSA | 144 |
| Javion WhiteDB From Tulane | Tulane | 141 |
| Myles RowserDB From Arizona State | Arizona State | 120 |
| Miller MaloneLB From Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky | 45 |
| Jaden YatesLB From Ole Miss | Ole Miss | 40 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
