Conference game
Houston at West Virginia
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Houston 75% Favorite
West Virginia 25% Underdog
Houston is the model's favorite at 75%. West Virginia has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.6 rating points baked in for West Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
West Virginia offense
31 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup