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West Virginia

Mountaineers · Big 12

GIE rank
#66
of 138 FBS
Rating
1558
2026 Week 11
Record
5-3
2026 season
Proj record
6-6
12-game season

Head coach Rich Rodriguez Year 2 with West Virginia

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.4
1.4 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#68 (50–85)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes West Virginia's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Win, 31-24 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs UT Martin Non-FBS Win, 52-7 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Virginia ACC · neutral Win, 38-27 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Oklahoma State Big 12 Loss, 24-41 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Iowa State Big 12 Loss, 42-45 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Arizona Big 12 Loss, 31-52 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Cincinnati Big 12 Win, 45-42 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at TCU Big 12 Win, 24-20 Final
Wk 9 Bye
Wk 10 Nov 8 at Texas Tech Big 12 Win probability: 7%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Kansas Big 12 Win probability: 49%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Houston Big 12 Win probability: 21%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Utah Big 12 Win probability: 7%

Latest stories

Stories about West Virginia will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Scotty Fox Jr.

GIE projects a -6.0 rating drop and a -24.2pp shift in playoff probability if West Virginia loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

27 score

  • Quarterback 52% (3/7)
  • Offensive line 33% (7/21) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 5% (6/32)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 14% (10/32)
  • Secondary 18% (5/25)
  • Special teams 0% (3/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+2.2 rating

37 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

West Virginia incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Cam CookRB From Jacksonville State Jacksonville State 272
Kamari WilsonS From Memphis Memphis 179
Zeke Durham-CampbellDL From Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 164
Harper HollomanLB From Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 129
DJ EppsWR From Troy Troy 94
Andrew PowdrellS From UNLV UNLV 93

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 30.2%
    16th — bottom tier
  • Red-zone TD rate 13.0%
    33th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 42.0%
    74th — strong
  • Late & close 4.4 yds/play
    28th — below avg

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.