Oregon State at Houston
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oregon State | 7 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 20 |
 Houston Winner | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33 |
GIE pre-game call: Houston at 77%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Oregon State 23% Underdog
Houston 77% Favorite
Houston is the model's favorite at 77%. Oregon State has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Oregon State recap Oregon State: 2026 Week 11 recap Oregon State sits at No. 50 with a 5–3 record, holding steady at a 6.6 rating after last week's 38–22 loss at Fresno State. The Beavers haven't gained ground in GIE's assessment, a reflection of offensive inconsistency—their red-zone…
- Houston recap Houston: 2026 Week 11 recap Houston remains at 22nd in GIE's ratings after dropping a road game to Utah 21–13 in Week 8. The Cougars sit 6–2 on the season, but the loss exposed efficiency problems in high-leverage moments: a red-zone TD rate of just 14.5% and…