2026 Week 1
Oregon State at Houston
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
TDECU Stadium
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
11%
Houston
89%
Houston 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 13.0
Houston is the model's favorite at 89%. Oregon State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
91°F
Precipitation
61%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No