2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Houston at Kansas State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Kansas State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.2
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Houston
33%
Kansas State
67%
Kansas State 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 1.8
Kansas State is the model's favorite at 67%. Houston has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Houston offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Bill Snyder Family Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No